Skip to main content

Whose fault are high gas prices?

GM recently announced the closing of several auto plants in North America, primarily those that make large, gas inefficient vehicles. The news anchor began the segment with "Due to high gas prices..." Since everyone's blaming high gas prices for our woes these days, it begs the question "Whose fault are high gas prices?"

Your driveway is the first place to look for answers. If your car gets bad mileage, that's probably your fault. Some luck, huh?

After that, I blame "the invisible hand." This is the idea that when everyone follows their own self-interest in a free market, everyone ends up better off. Everyone is motivated to work hard and be efficient and produce goods that others want to trade for.

Free markets do a fine job of producing wealth and prosperity, but they've really botched the energy situation. For all it's glory, the invisible hand has little strategic foresight.

In the 1970s, we learned that America was vulnerable to high energy prices. People bought smaller, more efficient cars, and the national speed limit was 55 mph. The invisible hand forgot that vulnerability as soon as gas prices dropped. Despite 20 years of amazing technological advances, the mileage achieved by the average vehicle in the US got worse between 1980 & 2000. As long as gas was cheap, the self-interest of each individual failed to create adequate energy efficiency or energy independence. The invisible hand played tiddlywinks as our national energy habits drove us right into a crisis.

The invisible hand itself is a powerful technology. It is a tool that excels in a free market environment and can produce miraculous results. But it is not intelligent like a person is intelligent. It is not benevolent like the God most Americans worship. It is not patriotic. There are a number of technologies and ideas we must consider in the pursuit of intelligent, benevolent, patriotic outcomes.

When oil prices dropped after the energy crisis of the late 70s, the market was blind to the risk of higher prices in the future. It was blind to the risk of dependence on foreign oil. It had no balance sheet that accounted for the environmental impact of cheap energy. It saw only the price, and the price was just fine.

We must continue to respect the invisible hand of the market and give it room to operate. I hope economic conservatives will also allow room for other tools, like intelligence, benevolence, and patriotism. The complex problems of our world will not fall away for one tool--even a tool that makes many of us wealthy.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

New Yorker letter to editor

(In The New Yorker, 2/4/08, p5) Jeanne Guillemin, a senior fellor in MIT's Security Studies Program, wrote an excellent letter to the editor regarding how Americans talk about casualties. I'm unable to find a link to a full-text example, but here is an excerpt: "In wars since 1945, American combat mortality figures have sharply declined, while the exclusivity of the American claim on memorialization has intensified, as if U.S. soldiers were the only casualties in Korea or Vietnam or, more recently, Iraq, and the deaths of many thousands of civilians killed in those distant conflicts merited no acknowledgment and carried no meaning. Whose deaths matter and whose do not always tells a great deal about American politics and culture."

Real Estate in America

We sold our house this summer and bought a new home. The experience has led me to reflect on homes and home-buying in America. As in any industry, there are good and bad incentives at work in real estate. A home seller would like to get the highest price for their house and sell it in a reasonable period of time. The industry operates on a commission system so that the agent seeks to sell the house at a higher price. This incentive works, but only to a point. Consider the impact of $5000 on the seller vs. the agent. Six percent of $5000 is $300. After the realty company and purchasing agent take their cut, the agent isn't left with much. A $5000 difference in the price of the house means little to the agent, but a lot to the home owner. Does an agent become successful by getting the highest price or by turning over lots of houses? The answer is obvious. An agent's ideal world is not one where people get exactly the right price for their homes, it is a world where everyone is wi

Welfare for the wealthy

I was struck by today's Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Not literally, but in the Crossroads section, on opposite sides of the spread, were two articles that reflect our nation's "welfare for the rich." On 2J, a local economics instructor's article "Tax for Miller Park didn't help economy." He criticized a previous article which had suggested the opposite. The previous article was based almost entirely on reports by Major League Baseball, which clearly has a huge bias. This week's article takes an objective look, and summarizes that taxpayer's don't get much in return, but the fat cat players and executives of MLB walk away with huge paychecks. The drive to fund new ballparks almost never starts with taxpayers--it starts with the deep pockets of baseball executives, PR campaigns and connections with political power. On 3J, George Will was taking on the Fed ("What the Fed should never do"), rightly criticizing it for bailing out Bear